Turkish Earthquake Forecast

 


Prediction of  Earthquake Event                            Actual Earthquake Event


Time                      Location               Magnitude       Time        Location          Magnitude


5/1/00-5/2/00          45-33N/25-45E          3.0 - 5.0             5/2/00        Turkey                 3.4  (Kandilli)

5/3/00-5/4/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/3/00        38N/22E              3.9 (USGS)

5/3/00-5/4/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/3/00        30N/51E              5.1 (USGS)

5/3/00-5/4/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/3/00        Turkey                 4.1 (Kandilli)

5/3/00-5/4/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/3/00        38N/22E              3.7, 3.6, 3.5 (Greek)

5/3/00-5/4/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/3/00        35N/25E              3.5 & 3.5 (Greek)

5/3/00-5/4/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/4/00        39N/27E              3.8 (Greek)

5/5/00-5/6/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/4/00        36N/28E              3.8 (Greek)

5/5/00-5/6/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/4/00        39N/26E              3.7 (Greek)

5/5/00-5/6/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/4/00        35N/26E              3.7 (Greek)

5/5/00-5/6/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/5/00        Turkey                 3.9 & 3.9 (Kandilli)

5/5/00-5/6/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 5.5             5/6/00        Turkey                 3.6 (Kandilli)

5/7/00-5/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/7/00        27N/37E              5.2 (EMSC)

5/7/00-5/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/7/00        Turkey                 4.4 (Kandilli)

5/7/00-5/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/7/00        Turkey                 4.7(EMSC)+200home-destr.

5/7/00-5/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/7/00        36N/41E              5.2 (EMSC)

5/7/00-5/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/9/00        36N/32E              4.5 (EMSC)

5/7/00-5/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/9/00        Turkey                 3.2 & 3.4 (Kandilli)

5/10/00-5/12/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/10/00      46N/327E            4.8 (Swiss)

5/10/00-5/12/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/10/00      Turkey                 3.6 & 3.2 (Kandilli)

5/10/00-5/12/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/12/00      37N/36E              4.9(USGS)+12-injured

5/10/00-5/12/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.0             5/12/00      39N/43E              4.8 (EMSC)

5/13/00-5/16/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             5/13/00      36N/25E              3.9 (Greek)

5/13/00-5/16/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             5/13/00      25N/36E              5.1 (EMSC)

5/13/00-5/16/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             5/13/00      36N/31E              4.3 (EMSC)

5/13/00-5/16/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             5/14/00      40N/37E              4.5 (EMSC)

5/13/00-5/16/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             5/14/00      Turkey                 3.6 & 4.0 (Kandilli)

5/13/00-5/16/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             5/15/00      35N/25E              3.7 (Greek)

5/17/00-5/20/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 8.0             5/16/00      33N/34E              4.7 (EMSC)

5/17/00-5/22/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 8.0*           5/17/00      Turkey                 3.9 (Kandilli)

5/17/00-5/22/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 8.0*           5/20/00      38N/20E              4.3 (Greek)

5/17/00-5/22/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 8.0*           5/20/00      40N/25E              4.0 (Greek)

5/17/00-5/22/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 8.0*           5/20/00      35N/27E              4.0 (Greek)

5/17/00-5/22/00      55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 8.0*           5/22/00      41N/40E              4.7(EMSC)/4.4(USGS)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/24/00      36N/22E              5.6 & 5.1 (USGS)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/24/00      35N/24E              4.4 (Swiss)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/24/00      34N/25E              4.7 (EMSC)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/25/00      36N/22E              5.0 & 4.5 (USGS)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/26/00      40N/21E              5.2 (EMSC)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/26/00      36N/22E              4.1 (Greek)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/27/00      Turkey                 3.8 & 4.3 (Kandilli)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/27/00      36N/22E              4.5 (USGS)

5/24/00-5/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/27/00      34N/26E              4.2 (Greek)

5/28/00-5/29/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.0             5/29/00      39N/38E              3.8 (Kandilli)

5/30/00-6/3/00        55-25N/15-55E          5.0 - 7.5             6/1/00        40N/25E              5.3 (EMSC)

6/4/00-6/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             6/4/00        Turkey 3.7,3.3,3.2,3.2,3.5,3.3,3.5,3.5,3.3,3.2,3.6,3.3,3.3,3.3,3.2,3.4,3.3

6/4/00-6/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             6/4/00       36N/22E               4.3 (Swiss)

6/4/00-6/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 5.0             6/5/00        Turkey          3.4,3.3,3.9,3.3,3.1,3.2,3.2,3.1,3.3,3.6 & 3.6

6/6/00-6/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.5 - 7.0             6/6/00        Turkey           5.9 & 4.5 (Kandilli) + 3 dead

6/6/00-6/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.5 - 7.0             6/8/00        Turkey                 5.0 (Kandilli)

6/6/00-6/9/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.5 - 7.0             6/9/00        Turkey                 5.2 & 4.0 (Kandilli)

6/10/00-6/13/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.5 - 7.5 **        6/13/00      35N/27E          5.4 (EMSC)   Sleep outside!   **Updated**

6/15/00-6/19/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 6.0             6/14/00      40N/52E              5.0 (USGS)

6/15/00-6/19/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 6.0             6/15/00      35N/30E              4.8 (EMSC)

6/15/00-6/19/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 6.0             6/15/00      34N/20E              5.3 (EMSC)

6/15/00-6/19/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 6.0             6/17/00      35N/27E              4.7 & 4.5 (Greek)

6/19/00-6/23/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.5             6/19/00      35N/27E         3.6, 3.6, 3.6, 3.6, 3.7, 3.7 (Greek)

6/19/00-6/23/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.5             6/20/00      Turkey            3.7 & 3.8 (Kandilli)

6/19/00-6/23/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.5             6/20/00      39N/21E              4.0 (Greek)

6/19/00-6/23/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.5             6/23/00      30N/52E              5.1 (USGS)

6/19/00-6/23/00      55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 6.5             6/23/00      38N/40E              5.1 (EMSC)

6/24/00-6/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 4.5             6/24/00      45N/17E              4.4 (EMSC)

6/24/00-6/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 4.5             6/25/00      28N/33E              4.5 (EMSC)

6/24/00-6/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 4.5             6/27/00      32N/28E              4.9 (EMSC)

6/24/00-6/27/00      55-25N/15-55E          3.0 - 4.5             6/27/00      42N/13E              4.5 (USGS)

6/28/00-6/30/00      45-33N/25-45E          4.0 - 6.0             6/28/00      Turkey                 3.5 & 3.8 (Kandilli)

6/28/00-6/30/00      45-33N/25-45E          4.0 - 6.0            6/29/00      38N/26E              4.0 (Kandilli)

6/28/00-6/30/00      45-33N/25-45E          4.0 - 6.0             6/29/00      Turkey            3.6, 3.6, 4.4 (Kandilli) & 5.7(EMSC)

7/1/00-7/2/00          45-33N/25-45E          3.5 - 5.5             7/1/00        39N/19E              4.8 (EMSC)

7/1/00-7/2/00          45-33N/25-45E          3.5 - 5.5             7/2/00        Turkey                 3.7 (Kandilli)

7/3/00-7/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 7.0             7/3/00        40N/26E              4.1 (Greek)

7/3/00-7/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 7.0             7/3/00        Turkey                 4.0 (Kandilli)

7/3/00-7/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 7.0             7/5/00        Turkey                 4.0 (Kandilli)

7/3/00-7/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 7.0             7/5/00        36N/26E              4.1 (EMSC)

7/3/00-7/5/00          55-25N/15-55E          4.0 - 7.0             7/5/00        42N/48E              4.7 (EMSC)

7/6/00-7/8/00          55-25N/15-55E          3.5 - 6.5             -                 -                          -

 



   

  

**The 5/17/00-5/20/00 forecast for Turkey of a 5-8 magnitude quake has been extended by two days until 5/22/00**

Note on major quakes: This will be a major quake. You should be on high alert!! Pull out the earthquake siren, listen for the quake to begin and have someone to sound it so people can get up and out of the building.  It is the collapsing buildings which kill, not the quake itself.   If the building has been damaged from  previous quakes, is old and/or not in compliance with earthquake building codes, you should perhaps sleep outside. Place a rope from windows in buildings with more than 1 story so you do not have to jump, then slide down the rope.    PRACTICE until you can get out of the building in 15 seconds flat, because this is not a drill.  It is better to be safe and inconvenienced, than surprised and possibly killed.